There are simply three video games left within the NFL season which provides us restricted alternative to seek out worth within the betting markets. However that doesn’t imply there isn’t any. After not betting in the course of the Divisional spherical, we’re again with a minimum of one play throughout Convention Championship Weekend.
There gained’t be many alternatives to wager within the conventional betting markets however we may have Tremendous Bowl prop bets popping up over the following two weeks to offer us some extra motion in addition to lots of enjoyable with the bizarre props that will likely be obtainable.
Season document: 45-47-1, -3.35 items, -3.4% ROI
There is just one play for now, however maintain checking again to this text or comply with me on X/Twitter (@amock419) for any added performs earlier than the video games kickoff.
Convention Championship greatest wager
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens below 44.5 (-110)
Whereas this decide does scare me as a result of Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson can pop off at any second, the Ravens’ capability to grind the clock away on the bottom paired with the Chiefs’ lack of explosive performs — they gained’t be taking part in backup linebackers this week like they did in Buffalo final week — ought to assist. I believe each defenses may have a bonus on Sunday. Pat Thuney’s standing being up within the air doesn’t make life any simpler for one of the best quarterback on the planet.
Worst value to wager: Below 44.5 (-115)
Mannequin projection: Ravens 23.8, Chiefs 20.3
Line to observe
San Francisco 49ers -7 (-110)
If the Niners’ value comes again down earlier than kick, they might be a late add for me. I believe it is a could possibly be a nasty matchup for Detroit the place they’re not in a position to bail themselves out within the crimson zone on protection all sport in opposition to an elite opponent. If it doesn’t come down, I don’t hate the concept of teasing the 49ers all the way down to -1.5. The one problem is that I don’t suppose the Chiefs/Ravens sport is teaser-worthy so meaning you’re left with an open teaser for the Tremendous Bowl. If the Niners do cowl, I believe there will likely be a chance to tease the AFC Champ as much as pair with the Niners from this week. Because it stands, a full landing and additional level is simply too large to seek out an edge.
Mannequin projection: 49ers 28.8, Lions 21.8
(Photograph of Roquan Smith and Patrick Queen: Kara Durrette / Getty Photos)